Wednesday, March 19, 2008

The Wynn Classic Main Event


Catastrophe theory states that there are two main types of event. (Actually, there are other, minor, types but Eyebrows feels that this is not the space for convoluted explanations of Swallowtail Catastrophes. Suffice to say, it’s not like downing a beer)

Firstly, there is a fold catastrophe. In life, this could be the bursting of a balloon – there is no way it can be unburst, much to the annoyance of little Johnny. In poker, a fold catastrophe occurs when you’ve gone all against a bigger stack and your opponent (bless him) rivers a gut shot.

Secondly, there are cusp catastrophes – these have a chance of recovery. So, this time, Johnny’s tower of building blocks is punted around the nursery. Tears are shed but this event, subject to skills in tantrum management, can be reversed. In poker, you re-raise pre-flop but your adversary pushes all in. You muck, with a dent in your stack, but with the chance to regroup (subject to skills in tantrum management).

Fold and cusp: in any tournament, players will be subject to these two catastrophes. We pray to ride the cusp and avoid the fold. It’s not always possible, but we try.

On Sunday, 183 players floated their balloons in an attempt to win 1st prize of the main event at The Wynn Classic, Las Vegas. As the tournament goes into the final day, only 9 have survived the pricks. Current chip leader Ryan Young has weathered his share of cusp catastrophes, but as his 714,000 stack is less than twice the average of 406,667, the other players will be looking to kick his chips around the table. Check with Eyebrows tomorrow to see which player managed to avoid the fold catastrophe and netted $692,286.

No comments: